Bihar Election 2015 & Biased Media


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MUMBAI – MAHARASHTRA – INDIA           OCTOBER 11, 2015           11.45 P.M.

 

Bihar Assembly Election - 2015

Bihar Assembly Election – 2015

 

Polls to the 243-seat Assembly would be held on October 12, 16, 28, November 1 and 5. Counting of votes will take place on November 8.

 

With the announcement of dates of Bihar Assembly Elections 2015, battle lines have been drawn. Armies are out in the battle field. Arms are in place. Swords are being brandished. Quiver is in place and bow is already in position to start the attack. But a big question mark remains. Who will win the battle? There are 4 formations.

1 – NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE  [ BJP + LJP + RLSP + HAM ]

2 – MAHAGATHBANDHAN [ JDU + RJD + CONGRESS ]

3 – THIRD FRONT [ SP + NCP (Nationalist Congress Party) +  SJD-D (Samajwadi Janata Dal (Democrat) led by former Union Minister Devendra Prasad Yadav + NPP (National Peoples Party) headed by former Lok Sabha Speaker P.A. Sangma ]

4 – LEFT FRONT [CPI (ML-Liberation) + CPI + CPM + RSP + Forward Bloc + SUCI (C) ]

Obviously result is difficult to predict. Media is out with the exclusive(?) opinion polls. But they are so different that one is forced to think that something is terribly wrong. 3 reputed media houses like Zee TV, IndiaBTL & India TV are predicting decisive BJP+ victory. Their survey samples are huge. Their credibility unquestionable and their analysis exhaustive.

Then there is ABP News. They are giving slight edge to BJP+.  According to them BJP is ahead of Mahagathbandhan.

While CNN-IBN & India Today are sure that BJP is going to get defeated in the battle decisively. They have no caste wise, region wise analysis. I don’t know they have come to this conclusion?

Same is the case of print media. Indian Express predicts BJP’s rout, while Times of India gives a slight edge to BJP.

It is certain that some media houses are biased in favour of Mahagathbandhan and they want BJP to be defeated. But this is not journalism. They are supposed to give us news. Not their biased views. The word “PRESSTITUDE”, which is widely used today, seems to be true for a section of biased media.

Please go to the important predictions of the media houses and decide yourself.

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Zee TV Opinion Poll

Zee TV Opinion Poll

ZEE TV – JANTA KA MOOD OPINION POLL :

The survey was conducted by JantaKaMood for Zee Media Ltd from October 5-8, 2015.

The pre poll survey indicates that 54 percent electorate is expected to vote for the NDA, while 40.2 percent may vote for grand alliance and 5.8 percent will opt for the Others.

The NDA comprises of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), Hindustani Awam Morcha(HAM), Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) & Rashtriya Lok Samta Party (RLSP).

The grand alliance has been formed by Janata Dal-United, Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and the Congress.

According to the survey, if the polls are conducted today, the NDA will be leading in 162 seats, the grand alliance in 51 and the remaining 30 seats will witness a very close fight.

35.1 percent of the Muslim population is expected to vote for the NDA, while 57.9 percent of the minority community will go with the grand alliance-led by Nitish Kumar.

The poll survey further predicts that Hindus will vote in majority for the BJP-led alliance. 57.8 percent Hindus are predicted to vote for the NDA, 36.6 percent will opt for the JDU+RJD+ and Others will get 5.6 percent of their votes.

The survey also predicts a close contest for the Yadav votes. BJP-led alliance is expected to win over 43.3 percent Yadav votes, grand alliance 51.9 percent and Others 4.8 percent.

It seems the female community is inclined towards the Modi-led NDA. Around 57.5 percent female electorates are to vote for the NDA, 36.0 percent will go for grand alliance and 6.5 percent will opt for Others.

According to the survey, vote share in major caste groups in Bihar will be as follows:

Forward votes: NDA is expected to win over 65 percent of the voters, 30 percent will stick to grand alliance and the remaining 5 percent will vote for Others.

Also Read – Grand Alliance set to win Bihar election: Survey

Dalit + MahaDalit votes: 57 percent want to elect the NDA, 36 percent want JDU+RJD+ and 7 percent would go for Others

OBC votes: The BJP-led NDA projected to win over 55 percent, Nitish-led alliance 40 percent and Others to get 5 percent.

50 percent Yadav (OBC) voters want to opt for grand alliance, 45 percent would like to vote for NDA and 5 percent will go for the Others.

52 percent of Kurmi (OBC) want NDA government in Bihar, 40 percent want grand alliance and 7 percent want Others.

While the BJP-led alliance is expected to win over 55 percent of EBC voters, ‘Mahagathbandhan’ will get 40 percent and Others 5 percent.

The Khushwaha (EBC) community is tilted towards the NDA and is 57 percent are likely to vote for it. 40 percent want to side with Nitish-Lalu and rest 3 percent are tilted towards Others.

Furthermore, the electorate from Koeri (EBC) want NDA. 58 percent want BJP-led alliance, 37 percent want JDU+RJD+ and 5 percent would vote for Others.

NDA is projected to win over Teli (EBC) with 70 percent of the votes.

There is a close contest for the Adivasi votes, with NDA predicted to get 47 percent, ‘Mahagathbandhan’ 48 percent and Other s 5 percent.

The pre poll survey also said that the NDA, which registered an emphatic win in the 2014 General Elections, is expected to get 54.2 percent of votes in the 32 Lok Sabha seats. JDU+RJD+ is likely to get 40.1 percent and Others 5.7 percent.

If Lok Sabha elections are conducted today the NDA will win over 39 seats and JDU+RJD+ will fail to open its account, the survey said.

Interestingly, the survey says that aligning with Lalu will backfire Nitish. While, 59.7 percent say that the alliance will  hamper Nitish’s prospects in the polls, 30.2 percent think otherwise.

Another interesting factor is BJP is immensely gaining from PM Narendra Modi’s rallies. 62.8 percent think BJP’s star campaigner’s rallies are impacting the voters.

The survey is conducted through telephony. Survey sample is created through random sampling at Assembly constituency level for all the 243 Assembly seats. Approximately 10 lakh people from Bihar were approached in this round of survey. Data processing, analytics and historical data review are used to derive insights from the collected responses.

 

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INDIABTL OPINION POLL :

A few key learnings from the data

  1. The Upper Castes (Brahmins, Rajputs, Bhumihars and Kayashtas) were strongly behind BJP alliance with over 3/4ths of them preferring to vote for NDA, irrespective of who the candidate was (caste of the candidate did not matter)
  2. The Dalits are strongly behind NDA while Mahadalits are moderately behind the NDA.
  3. The Muslims are very strongly behind the Grand Alliance and the 3rd front and MIM has not been able to dent much from this votebank
  4. The OBCs (almost half of Bihar’s population) are a divided house. However more OBC voters prefer the Grand Alliance than the NDA
  5. However this skew is largely because of the presence of Yadav, Kurmi and Koeri voters in the OBC fold who have rallied behind the Grand alliance. Leaving them out, a fair majority of other backward communities seem to be behind NDA

We targeted 10,000 voters and successfully got responses from 8782 of them. The voters were distributed across 28 districts of Bihar. The representative sample was close to the actual population distribution of Bihar (except for 1 question on Lalu’s beef remarks which was executed later on a sample of 1200 people from 5 districts). The sample constituted of Muslims 16%, Yadavas 14.5%, Kurmis 5%, Koeris 6%, Dalits 4%, Maha Dalits 10%, Brahmins 5.5%, Baniyas 7%, Rajputs 5%, Bhumiahars 4.5%, Kayasthas 1.5%, and the remaining EBCs at 21%.

Vote share and Seats
Using the above calculation, we arrived out at following vote share

Vote share and Seats : : NDA 43.0 % / UPA: 39.8 % / Others 17.2%

Total Seats
NDA: 144 ( BJP 119 + LJP 16 + RLSP 5 + HAM 4 )
UPA: 85 ( JDU 41 + RJD 40 + INC 4 )
Others: 14

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INDIA TV – C VOTER OPINION POLL :

The BJP-led NDA is projected to win 119 seats, three short of the magic mark of 122 in the 243-member Bihar assembly, says the India TV-CVoter pre-poll survey, results of which were telecast on the channel tonight.

The grand alliance forged by RJD, Janata Dal(U) and Congress in Bihar is  projected to win 116 seats, three less than NDA’s tally, says the pre-poll survey. Eight seats may go to ‘Others’.

The NDA, comprising BJP, LJP, RLSP and HAM, has been projected to get 43 per cent vote share, compared to 41 pc vote share of Lalu-Nitish-Sonia alliance, says the pre-poll survey.

 

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CNN - IBN Opinion Poll

CNN – IBN Opinion Poll

INDIA TODAY – CICERO OPINION POLL  :

India Today had conducted an exhaustive pre poll survey, in collaboration with Cicero. The survey has predicted that the current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar is in fact the most popular leader in the state, followed by Bharatiya Janata Party’s Sushil Modi. The poll also predicted a clear victory for the Janata Dal (United) lead Grand Alliance, which includes Lalu Prasad Yadav’s Rashtriya Janata Dal and Rahul Gandhi’s Congress. According to the survey, Grand Alliance got 122 seats, ahead of the BJP lead NDA’s 111 seats. Both the alliances got 41% and 39% voter share respectively.

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ABP NEWS – NIELSON OPINION POLL :

ABP News-Nielsen’s latest Opinion Poll has projected a fall in the number of seats of the grand alliance of JD(U)-RJD and Congress in Bihar when compared to what they achieved in July.

 

The grand coalition was projected to win 129 seats in the 243-member Bihar Assembly, according to our Survey conducted two months ago. However, this time around, the Opinion Poll has predicted that the Nitish Kumar-led association is set to lose seven seats thereby dropping down to 122.

 

According to the Opinion Poll, the BJP-led combine including LJP, RLSP and HAM is likely to win six seats more improving their tally to 118 as compared to the last conducted Survey. But NDA running short of four seats demonstrates that it has failed to gather the required magical figure of 122 seats.

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The map posted below will give you the mammoth presence of BJP across the nation. Momentum is not lost in the previous assembly polls of MAHARASHTRA, HARYANA, JAMMU & KASHMIR & JHARKHAND. DELHI being the sole exception.

BJP Rulred States After 2014 Lok Sabha Elections

BJP Rulred States After 2014 Lok Sabha Elections

 

So I hope that Zee TV’s 2/3rd majority prediction for BJP+ will be manifested in results. A new churning has begun in Bihar. Youth and female voters are heralding the new change in the hugely patriarchal and caste-ridden Bihar. Victorious march of BJP will continue in the Bihar and will change the JUNGLE-RAJ of beef eating socialists.

Election - 5

 

[ Poll predictions and all the other data has been extensively quoted from the website of the various Media channels. I express gratitude. ]

 

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‘Terrific response’ for Narendra Modi’s Shanghai speech on China visit


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MUMBAI – MAHARASHTRA – INDIA           APRIL 28, 2015           11.59 P.M.

When Narendra Modi got elected as the Prime Minister of India, many people, mainly his opponent and detractors thought that foreign policy will be his Achilles Heels. But they were for rude shock. Narendra Modi made giant leap in foreign policy affairs and now criss-cross the world arena as a colossus.

His lectures in front of India Diaspora in United States of America and Australia last year and more recently in Canada this year made history.

Next month he is going to China. As per news paper reports, same euphoric welcome awaits him in Shanghai. Here is the report :

Madison Square GardenNew York , U.S.A. / September 28, 2014

Allphones ArenaSydney , Australia / November 17, 2014

Ricoh ColiseumToronto , Canada / April 16, 2015

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Madison Square-style event in Shanghai during his upcoming visit to China has generated a “terrific response” from Indian professionals and students based in various cities in the Communist nation.

Modi plans to give a speech in Shanghai similar to the one at New York’s Madison Square Garden last year on his US visit.

This will be the first time an Indian leader has attempted such an event in China which until recently had very few Indians.

From across China there has been a “terrific response” for the prime minister’s event being organised by the Indian community on May 16, a social media message by the Indian Association of Shanghai said, ahead of the last day for registration tomorrow.

“This will be the biggest Indian get-together ever to happen in China,” the association notice’s said.

With burgeoning trade links following gradual improvement in relations, the number of Indians in different Chinese cities is now estimated to be around 45,000 which includes over 13,000 students while the rest comprises businessperson and professionals working for local and multinational firms.

Indian associations from various cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangdong with large concentration of Indians, have sent notices a fortnight ago asking people to register for Modi’s event.

About 4,000 people are expected to attend the event.

Modi will be arriving on a three-day visit to China on May 14, his first after taking over as prime minister.

As per the programme being worked out, he would begin his trip with a visit to the ancient city of Xian, the hometown of President Xi Jinping who will host Modi with informal get together showcasing Chinese hospitality, culture and Buddhism.

Xi plans to reciprocate Modi’s hometown diplomacy in Ahmedabad when the Chinese leader visited India in September.

The scene will shift to Beijing the next day with Modi scheduled to have talks with Xi and Premier Li Keqiang. Modi is also expected to address Chinese students at Tsinghua University here besides taking part in a colourful Yoga and Chinese martial art Tai Chi along with Li.

Besides the Indian community, Modi will also address a ‘Make in India’ business meet to woo Chinese investors.

His visit is expected to firm up several agreements and announcements. Expectations are also high here that he may extend an e-visa facility to Chinese nationals to attract larger numbers of tourists from China.

Several countries have wooed Chinese tourists as about 100 million of them travelled abroad last year, spending billions of dollars.

India this year is organising a ‘Visit India Year’ to attract Chinese tourists 1.70 lakh of whom visited India last year while over 5 lakh Indians visited China.

Chinese officials have proposed initiatives like Buddhist circuit as well as group tours linked to Sri Lanka and the Maldives to attract more Chinese tourists to India.

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On behalf of all the students & staff of VIDUR Acting Institute , VIDUR Editing Studio , VIDUR Club and VIDUR Merchandise, I congratulate my Prime Minister and wish him all the success.

May be during his China visit he can accomplish, what Jawahar Lal Nehru , Indira Gandhi and other Prime Ministers could not achieve.

[ Major portion of this blog is being re-produced from a news item published in The New Indian Express. I express gratitude. ]

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Kekoo Gandhy : A connoisseur Par Excellence


 

MUMBAI – MAHARASHTRA – INDIA           NOVEMBER 11 , 2012           11.20 P.M.

Kekoo Gandhy, co-founder of Mumbai’s Gallery Chemould , one of the oldest commercial art galleries of India , passed away in Mumbai on November 10 , 2012 . He was 92 at the time of his death .

He , along with his wife Khorshed , opened his Gallery Chemould in 1963 at the first floor of Jehangir Art Gallery . Last month on October 17 , 2012 , Jehangir Art Gallery completed 60 years of its existence . It is ironical that Kekoo Gandhy died within a month of this historic event .

jahangir art gallery

Jahangir Art Gallery (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

I have written a blog about the 60th year of Jehangir Art Gallery . I am posting the link :

60 Years of Jahangir Art Gallery http://wp.me/ptyXI-2nj

Kekoo Gandhy is considered one of the most significant figures in shaping India’s modern art . He established Chemould Frames, his frame manufacturing business through which he started his association with Mumbai’s first group of post-modern painters like ; Maqbool Fida  Husain , Syed Haider Raza , Tyeb Mehta and Kattingeri Krishna Hebbar , a.k.a. K. K. Hebbar .

When there were practically no venues in Mumbai for showing modern art , Gandhy would use his showroom window as an informal exhibiting space for budding artists and also seek prospective clients for them.

“Despite being such a huge figure on the art circuit, he was never intimidating to young artists . He was known to be friendly and approachable though he belonged to a different generation ,” said painter Atul Dodiya , who has held several shows at Gandhy’s gallery.

In 2007, Gallery Chemould moved out of Jehangir Art Gallery to a larger, state-of-the-art space . It is now headed by his daughter Shirin Gandhy .

I am not a connoisseur of modern art . It is not because of lack of appreciation but because of my penury . I don’t have money to buy paintings or a huge space to display them properly . But whenever I visit South Mumbai , I do visit Jehangir Art Gallery at Kala Ghoda . I love to be there .

I don’t know Kekoo Gandhy in personal capacity . I knew him through the columns of news papers . I do know that he is considered a father – figure in the field of modern art . His demise is really an irreparable loss .

I express my condolences . On behalf of me and my Acting Institute , Vidur’s Kreating Charakters , I pray for the departed soul .

May his soul rest in peace !

[ Since I had no contacts with Kekoo Gandhy , I have quoted relevant facts of his life from news papers like , Times Of India and Indian Express . I am indebted . ]

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Sunny Leone & Jism 2 : The Unkown Truth


MUMBAI – MAHARASHTRA – INDIA           AUGUST 03 , 2012           11.55 P.M.

Today on August 03 , 2012 , Sunny Leone made her much publicized , much-anticipated Hindi film debut in Jism 2 “ . She created lots of curiosity and got huge media coverage . I came to know about her when she appeared as one of the inmates in ” Bigg Boss – Season 5 ” in 2011.

Porn star Sunny Leone at the 2007 Adult Entert...

Sunny Leone at the 2007 Adult Entertainment Expo. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

During her stay in ” Bigg Boss – Season 5 “ , Mahesh Bhatt approached her and signed her for ” Jism 2 ” . And immediately after that , an orchestrated publicity juggernaut started . I got information through news papers that she is a Punjabi girl born to Sikh Punjabi parents in Sarnia , Ontario , Canada in 1981 .

Her mother was from Himachal Pradesh , India and died in 2008 . Her father , who was born in Tibet , died in 2010 .

Sunny Leone

Sunny Leone (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

One fine morning Dino Morea , who is my student , and with whom I worked during his debut film Pyaar Mein Kabhi Kabhi ” [ 1999 ] , called me and asked me whether I would like to train Sunny Leone ? I immediately agreed because for me a student is only a student and a girl child is like a daughter , nothing more , nothing less . While accepting students , I don’t think about their personal lives or antecedents . I simply don’t care about their so-called past reputation . For me a mega star or a porn star makes no difference , provided he or she is willing to work hard and is ready to accept me as his or her trainer . So I was more than happy to train Sunny Leone and said yes without any hesitation or second thought .

I had another reason to say yes to Dino Morea . I like Dino , because even after getting trained by Mr. Kishore Namit Kapoor , he called me for personal training and till today he approaches me , if he needs my help . In his debut film ” Pyaar Mein Kabhi Kabhi ” [ 1999 ] , he worked with Rinke Khanna , who is also my student and just like Dino , a dear one too . So the bonding with him is special .

English: Dino Morea at the Gladrags Mega Model...

Dino Morea at the Gladrags Mega Model Manhunt contest. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

English: Indian film actress

Rinke Khanna (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Unfortunately , I could not train Sunny because of a misunderstanding . A journalist from Indian Express approached me for an interview and asked me , whether I would like to train Sunny Leone also ? I answered , ” if approached , why not ! ” That interview appeared in Sunday Eye . Wordings were framed in such a way that it gave hint that I am training Sunny Leone . It was far from truth . My fee was quoted as 1,00,000.00 [ INR One Lakh ] . Each and every student of mine can vouch that I don’t charge this much amount . My fee is on the lower side . It amply shows that the said interview had some truths and many fictions . But Ms. Pooja Bhatt thought otherwise . It was understandable because she doesn’t know me personally .

At the same time I got an offer from Karan Johar’s Dharma Productions to train Kalki Koechlin for ” Yeh Jawaani Hai Deewani ” . I grabbed the offer and left for Manali to train Kalki Koechlin . I duly informed Dino about this .

I am stating this episode just to make it clear that I did not ditch Sunny Leone for Kalki Koechlin . I thought that after reading that interview Ms. Pooja Bhatt would not contact me for training Sunny Leone , so I took another offer . It is just that .

Jism (film)

Bipasha Basu in Jism 1 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

” Jism 1 ” [ 2003 ] had Bipasha Basu and that was a huge hit . Now 9 years later Sunny Leone makes her debut in ” Jism 2 “ this Friday . I wish her all the success and same kind of success .

This film is produced by Dino Morea . This is his maiden venture . I wish him success and good luck too .

 

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60 Years of Screen : A News Paper of Indian Cinema


MUMBAI – MAHARASHTRA – INDIA           January  01 , 2012           01.20 A.M.

Screen weekly completed 60 years in 2011 . I share my birth year with this film weekly . In fact ” Screen “ is few months senior .

Hindi film industry fascinates and lures numerous people from every walk of life . The pull and attraction are so strong that you have to be the Indian or Indian diaspora to believe this .

This syndrome was not different for me also . I was attracted to the film world since my early childhood . I still remember my fascination and that too very vividly .

 

Location of Deoria district in Uttar Pradesh

Location of Deoria in Uttar Pradesh

I started watching films regularly after completing High School . It was in 1967 . Deoria , my home town in Uttar Pradesh had 2 cinema halls ; Amarjyoti and Vijay . After examination , I watched ” Ganga Jumna “ , a Dilip Kumar Film , in the Amarjyoti Talkies and I was hooked . Before that I had watched some films but that was a sporadic , spur of the moment kind of behaviour . I had watched Dev Anand‘s ” Dushman “ , Ashok Kumar’s ” Bahu Beti “ and Rajendra Kumar‘s ” Sasural “ . V. Shantaram‘s ” Mausi “ was also a favourite . In those days of my infancy , every film was my favourite and I became curious and wanted to know more and more about the stars .

I started subscribing various film magazines and one day , while I was searching for a magazine at the news paper stand of Deoria Railway Station , I saw ” Screen “ . It was broad – sheet paper and had several photographs . Its price was 4 annas [ 25 Paise ] . It was published from Bombay [ now Mumbai ] . Though it was in black & white still photographs mesmerized me . I bought the paper , brought it home and read it at one go from top to bottom and from first page to the last page . And thus began a life long association , which still continues . Ali’s Notes , column of Mr. Ali Peter John , was my favourite .

During all these long years ” Screen “ had changed its format several times . From 25 paise in 1967 to INR 10.00 in 2011 , it is now a bit costly . Later on it became partly coloured along with black & white avatar . Then it became fully coloured . From broad – sheet to tabloid , then back to broad – sheet and now again in the form of tabloid , coloured ” Screen “ also changed many times . Style and font of mast – head ” Screen “ also changed couple of times . Though Hindi ” Screen ” was also started , but it was a non – starter from day one .

I think now it has taken final shape in its tabloid avatar .

I used to love its front page photos . Front page photo in ” Screen “ was like a barometer of popularity of a star . They used to feel as if they have arrived if they appeared on the cover of the latest ” Screen ” . It is still the same .The euphoria of being on the cover page of ” Screen “ is undiminished even after 60 long years .

As I have stated that I used to read ” Screen “ when it was a broad – sheet paper and used to be black & white . I know its reputation , which is untarnished even today . Naturally I was very happy when a small news came in ” Screen “ about me . It was about myself and Katrina Kaif , whom I was training at that time  . I am giving the link :

! – First article about me in ” Screen ”  was published in the May 21 , 2010 issue : http://bit.ly/dmi5FN

2 – Second article about me in ” Screen “ was published in the  December 02 – 08 , 2011 issue . http://www.indianexpress.com/news/Actors–Laboratory/875287/

[ This link is about the article in Indian Express . Same was re – printed in Screen .  Screen and Indian Express are sister publications .]

 

The Indian Express

Indian Express

I was so happy that finally , when I am 60 and ” Screen “ is also 60 , a big article about me was published this year . It’s like a culmination of my 44 year-long association with the paper , which started in 1967 .

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